Saudi Arabia's first global bonds worth $17.5B – official media
RIYADH, Saudi Arabia – Saudi Arabia's first international bond offering totaled $17.5 billion and was nearly 4 times oversubscribed, official media said early Thursday, October 20, confirming the strong buyer interest which analysts expected.
"The total sum of the first offering was $17.5 billion," the Saudi Press Agency reported.
"The total subscription requests for these bonds amounted to $67 billion dollars (251.3 billion Saudi riyals)".
A source involved in the operation on Wednesday, October 19, confirmed that "the terms have been launched,", and Saudi has divided the total into 3 tranches with maturities of 5, 10 and 30 years, respectively, tailor-made for the American market.
However, investor interest in the issue extends well beyond the United States, the source said.
The Saudi issue will be bigger than many analysts had expected.
It will be the largest ever from an emerging-market nation, Bloomberg News said.
Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter, projected a budget deficit of $87 billion this year after a fall in oil revenues, which still account for most of its income.
To cover the shortfall, Saudi Arabia is re-orienting its economy by imposing unprecedented subsidy cuts and slowing government projects. In September it cut cabinet ministers' salaries, among other measures.
The kingdom last week began meetings with potential investors ahead of the bond issue.
According to sources cited by Bloomberg News, it is pricing the five-year bonds to yield about 140 basis points over US Treasuries.
Christopher Dembik, global head of macroeconomic research at France's Saxo Bank, told Agence France-Presse on Wednesday that the offer "is going to arouse strong interest on the part of investors" who are desperately looking for yield.
The Saudi offer "will be certainly slightly above that of its neighbors because of its less favorable sovereign debt rating and a recent global trend towards higher sovereign rates," he said.
Saudi Arabia has already issued domestic bonds but that has led to a tightening of bank liquidity, according to Patrick Dennis, lead Middle East economist at Oxford Economics in London.
Helping to fund deficit
"So that's the main reason why they're now borrowing overseas," he told Agence France-Presse.
Saudi banks' loan-to-deposit ratio rose for the fifth consecutive month in August, reaching 90.8%, because of faster growth in credit relative to deposits, Riyadh's Jadwa Investment said in a report this month.
Borrowing abroad also reduces the drain on the kingdom's foreign reserves, Dennis said.
Official data show those reserves declined to $562 billion in August from $732 billion at the end of 2014.
The reserves remain very large but their rapid drawdown shows a need for diversified funding, Dennis said.
London-based Capital Economics said in a briefing paper that Saudi reserves are now "unlikely to fall much beyond their current level in the coming years" because the bond issue will finance around a third of next year's budget deficit and almost all of the current account shortfall.
In April the kingdom released its wide-ranging Vision 2030 for diversifying the economy.
At its heart is a plan to float less than five percent of state oil company Saudi Aramco on the stock market.
The proceeds would help form what will become the world's biggest state investment fund, with around $2 trillion in assets.
With prospects good for the current international bond issue, Dembik foresees Saudi Arabia borrowing $15 billion to $20 billion annually in the market to help finance its economic transformation plan. – Rappler.com