stock markets

Stocks rebound on progress toward US debt ceiling resolution

Reuters
Stocks rebound on progress toward US debt ceiling resolution

STOCKS. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, October 6, 2021.

Brendan McDermid/Reuters

A market analyst says there was 'a lot of nervousness that time was running out on debt ceiling talks,' and 'the global energy crisis was becoming a focal point for inflation concerns'

Soaring energy prices retreated and stocks on Wall Street rebounded on Wednesday, October 6, after the top US Senate Republican backed an extension of the US debt ceiling and Russia calmed volatile natural gas markets in Europe.

The unrelated moves eased growing angst among investors about a possible historic default on US government debt and surging Dutch wholesale gas prices, the European benchmark, that had jumped eightfold this year to record highs.

US natural gas futures plunged more than 10%, a day after they soared to a 12-year high.

Yields on one-month Treasury bills tumbled after Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said his party would support an extension of the federal debt ceiling into December. Republicans had been expected on Wednesday to block a third attempt by Senate Democrats to raise the $28.4-trillion federal debt ceiling.

“There was a lot of nervousness that time was running out on debt ceiling talks,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York.

But the primary catalyst for the day’s volatile market moves were the Russian decisions on natural gas, Moya said.

“The global energy crisis was becoming a focal point for inflation concerns,” Moya said.

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Earlier, a strong private payrolls report helped boost expectations that the US Federal Reserve would soon taper its massive bond purchases.

US private payrolls increased by 568,000 jobs in September as COVID-19 infections subsided, or 140,000 more than economists polled by Reuters had forecast, according to the employment report from ADP that pointed to a recovering jobs market.

Unless the non-farms payroll report on Friday, October 8, is a disaster, a taper announcement by the Fed in November can be expected with its quantitative easing program over by mid-2022, said David Petrosinelli, senior trader at InspereX in New York.

“QE buying, right now at full bore, at worst is limited or has no effect,” Petrosinelli said, adding that inflationary pricing pressures in the economy are daunting.

“They’re (the Fed) going to have to raise interest rates in 2022,” Petrosinelli added.

MSCI’s all-country world index pared losses of more than 1% to close almost flat, down 0.1%, while the broad Euro STOXX 600 index in Europe closed down 1.03%.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3%, the S&P 500 gained 0.41%, and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.47%.

In Europe, eurozone yields rose as a government bond sell-off extended on inflation concerns and potential monetary policy tightening. A gauge of German inflation expectations hit its highest since May 2013.

Germany’s 10-year government bond yield, the benchmark of the eurozone, rose as much as 4 basis points and hit its highest since the end of June at -0.147%.

Yields on the US Treasury 10-year benchmark fell from more than three-month peaks. But the outlook for rates remained tilted to the upside.

The 10-year note’s yield fell 0.7 basis points to 1.5241%.

The dollar rose toward a one-year high touched last week as inflation concerns fueled by surging energy prices and the outlook for rising rates knocked investors’ appetite for riskier assets.

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback versus a basket of six currencies, rose 0.228% to 94.219.

The euro was down 0.34% at $1.1557, while the yen traded down 0.04% at $111.4000.

The New Zealand dollar earlier extended losses after barely budging on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lifting its official cash rate for the first time in seven years.

Oil prices dropped nearly 2% after hitting multi-year highs, a step back from recent torrid gains after US crude inventories rose unexpectedly.

Behind oil’s recent climb were concerns about energy supply and a decision on Monday, October 4, by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies to stick to a planned output increase rather than raising it further.

Brent crude futures fell 1.79% to settle at $81.08 a barrel. US crude settled down 1.90% to $77.43 a barrel.

US gold futures settled up 0.1% at $1,761.80 an ounce. – Rappler.com