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Treasury yields fell on Wednesday, January 13, after Federal Reserve officials steered clear of tightening monetary conditions anytime soon despite expectations of higher inflation, while stocks and the dollar edged higher.
The United States benchmark yield was on track to post its first full-session decline in 2021, even as a jump in gasoline prices pushed inflation higher last month. Consumer prices are expected to run hotter in a couple of months when March and April of 2020, which saw very low inflation, fall off the yearly reading.
Several Fed policymakers pushed back against the idea of the Fed tapering its asset purchases any time soon, however.
The climb in yields is expected to resume, partly due to a massive stimulus package from the incoming administration of Democratic President-elect Joe Biden, who takes office on January 20.
Stocks edged up as Europe was boosted by deals, and US tech stocks were supported by a change of leadership at Intel Corporation, which jumped 7%.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 8.22 points, or 0.03%, to 31,060.47, the S&P 500 gained 8.65 points, or 0.23%, to 3,809.84, and the Nasdaq Composite added 56.52 points, or 0.43%, to 13,128.95.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.11% and MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.28%.
Emerging market stocks rose 0.78%. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.68% overnight higher, while Nikkei futures rose 0.92%.
The US dollar index rose for the 4th time in 5 sessions, still not far from near 3-year lows hit last week.
The greenback has found support from expectations of a continued economic recovery in the United States, even as countries in Europe resort to lockdowns to fend off a second COVID-19 wave.
“You are seeing a continuance of the US outperformance trade,” said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Cambridge Global Payments in Toronto.
The dollar index rose 0.357%, with the euro down 0.42% to $1.2156.
The Japanese yen weakened 0.11% versus the greenback at 103.87 per dollar, while the British pound was last trading at $1.3635, down 0.20% on the day.
An auction of $24 billion in 30-year bonds was well bid, further pressuring yields lower.
Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 13/32 in price to yield 1.0951%, from 1.138% late on Tuesday, January 12.
Oil prices fell as the threat of lower demand due to rising global COVID-19 cases outweighed support from a greater-than-anticipated drop in US crude inventories.
Governments across Europe announced tighter and longer coronavirus lockdowns and curbs. The global death toll was nearing 2 million, according to a Reuters tracker.
“While I see crude prices trading higher over the coming months, investors need to be mindful that the road to higher oil demand and prices will remain bumpy,” UBS oil analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.
US crude recently fell 0.6% to $52.89 per barrel and Brent was at $56.04, down 0.95% on the day.
Spot gold dropped 0.4% to $1,848.05 an ounce. Silver fell 1.38% to $25.22.
Bitcoin last rose 6.73% to $36,324.69. – Rappler.com
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