China is “posturing” to seize Ayungin Shoal and Recto bank, which are located within the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone, a former national security adviser said. China’s window of opportunity is the period before Manila and Washington sign a military deal that will give US forces access to Philippine bases, according to former National Security Adviser Roilo Golez. China has urged the Philippines to remove from Ayungin its grounded ship Sierra Madre, which has served as a detachment for the Philippine Marines. But the Marines have stayed put. China’s plans put the Marine detachment in jeopardy, Golez added.
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