Suspect, probable, confirmed: DOH uses new categories for coronavirus cases

MANILA, Philippines – No more persons under monitoring (PUM) or persons under investigation (PUI), as the Department of Health (DOH) switches to new categorizations of coronavirus cases prescribed earlier by the World Health Organization (WHO).

Recent developments and new information on the coronavirus pandemic require the government to regularly revisit and update the case definitions and surveillance system for notification of COVID-19, said Health Secretary Francisco Duque III in a revised administrative order issued on April 9, Thursday.

The new categories or “case definitions for notification” were based on guidelines issued by the WHO on March 20. They are:

Suspect case

The following may be considered a “suspect case” of COVID-19: 

Probable case

A “probable case” of COVID 19 is:

Confirmed case

A person may be considered a “confirmed case” of COVID-19 only if they were tested at a national or subnational reference laboratory, or at a DOH-certified laboratory testing facility.

This is regardless of whether the person shows clinical signs and symptoms of COVID-19.

How about PUMs?

The new categories stated above only cover what used to be called PUIs and confirmed cases of the coronavirus. What used to be considered PUMs – those who have had contact with confirmed cases or have traveled to areas with local transmissions of the virus but who show no symptoms – are no longer covered by the new classification.

The new categories will become the basis of “notification” about possible COVID-19 cases. Unlike the previous system, they do not take into account people who may have been exposed to the virus but do not show any symptoms.

The procedures prescribed in the DOH administrative order only deal with suspect, probable, and confirmed cases.

In a footnote, the DOH explains why PUMs are not included in the new classification: “Because of evidence of local or community transmission in the country, its residents are assumed to have been exposed to the infection.”

WHO defines ‘contact’

The WHO’s “case definitions for surveillance” includes all 3 categories – suspect, probable, confirmed case – and notes a 4th one: contact.

A ‘contact’ is a person who had any one of the following exposures during the two days before and the 14 days after the onset of symptoms of a probable or confirmed case:

In the case of confirmed asymptomatic cases, the period of contact is measured from the 2 days before the date on which the person’s testing sample was taken, and all through the succeeding 14 days.

Cases still on the rise

The National Task Force (NTF) against COVID-19 earlier said it would begin “massive testing” of PUIs and PUMs as it opens large-venue national quarantine facilities in different parts of the country.

The objective then was to confirm more cases and trace their contacts in order to isolate them in these facilities in order to prevent the virus from spreading further among their communities.

It remains to be seen whether the NTF would adjust its plan according to the DOH’s new classification of cases.

On Saturday, April 11, the DOH reported 233 new confirmed COVID-19 cases, bringing the national total to 4,428 confirmed cases. Twenty-six new recorded fatalities brought the death toll to 247, while 157 patients have recovered.

Health experts expect the number of coronavirus cases in the Philippines to peak between 26,000 and 75,000. A study by the University of the Philippines projected cases could reach up to 550,000 in Metro Manila alone, peaking sometime from the end of April to June. –

JC Gotinga

JC Gotinga often reports about the West Philippine Sea, the communist insurgency, and terrorism as he covers national defense and security for Rappler. He enjoys telling stories about his hometown, Pasig City. JC has worked with Al Jazeera, CNN Philippines, News5, and CBN Asia.