Pulse Asia: Tight VP race, 3 bets statistically tied at top spot

Ryan Songalia
Pulse Asia: Tight VP race, 3 bets statistically tied at top spot
The vice presidential race remains a close one, with Marcos obtaining a 25% score and both Robredo and Escudero getting 23% – within the survey's ±2% margin of error

MANILA, Philippines – With 37 days to go before election day, the vice presidential race remains a close fight among 3 candidates who are statistically tied at top spot in the latest Pulso ng Bayan report by Pulse Asia.

Senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr obtained a 25% voter preference rating in the March report, while Senator Francis Escudero and administration candidate Leni Robredo both obtained a score of 23%.

But the survey’s ±2% error margin puts the 3 candidates at a statistical tie for 1st place. A copy of the survey results was obtained from Valenzuela Mayor Rex Gatchalian, spokesperson of presidential candidate Grace Poe.

The February Pulso ng Bayan survey had Escudero and Marcos practically tied at first place, with Robredo ranking 3rd with 19%.

The March survey, however, saw Robredo enjoying a surge in her numbers across all regions and socioeconomic classes, except for Class ABC.

Escudero, who had been leading previous pre-election surveys, suffered a 6-percentage point drop in the March survey compared to his 29% rating in the February poll. Marcos meanwhile had a one-percentage point drop, while Robredo’s numbers increased 4 percentage points.

The vice presidential race continues to be a tight one among the 3 candidates. An ABS-CBN commissioned survey held from March 15 to 20 showed Escudero and Marcos sharing the top spot with 25% voter preference rating, with Robredo’s 21% score nearly statistically tying with the two leading candidates.

Coming in at third place was Senator Alan Peter Cayetano with 14%, a two-percentage point increase from his February numbers.

He is followed by opposition candidate Gringo Honasan with 6%, and Senator Antonio Trillanes IV with 5%.

Meanwhile, 4% of voters remain undecided on their choice for vice president.

The survey, conducted from March 12 to 18 among 1,800 respondents, has a ±2% error margin at the 95% confidence level.

Marcos leads in class ABC, Robredo in Class E

Among the vice presidential candidates, Marcos is the top choice in both the National Capital Region (NCR) and Balance Luzon, obtaining ratings of 36% and 31% respectively.

In the Visayas, Robredo is the favored candidate with 35%, a 7-percentage point surge over her 28% rating in the February survey.

Cayetano, meanwhile, remains the strongest candidate among Mindanao voters with a rating of 29% – a 7-percentage point increase from his February numbers.

Marcos also leads among voters in Class ABC with a 33% score, despite dropping 11-percentage points compared to his 44% rating in the February survey.

He also leads slightly among voters in Class D with 26%, just 3 percentage points ahead of Robredo and Escudero.

The poorest voters in Class E favor Robredo (25%), with Marcos (22%) and Escudero (21%) following behind. – Rappler.com

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