COVID-19

Octa Research: All Metro Manila cities now at ‘moderate risk’ for COVID-19

Bonz Magsambol
Octa Research: All Metro Manila cities now at ‘moderate risk’ for COVID-19

PANDEMIC-HIT PH. People await their turn to board on the EDSA Carousel Bus at the Kamuning Bus Stop in Quezon City on September 13, 2021.

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'The NCR (National Capital Region) and all 17 constituent LGUs were classified as moderate risk using our metrics,' says the Octa Research group

Experts studying the coronavirus pandemic in the country said that all 17 cities and municipality in virus epicenter Metro Manila are now classified as “moderate risk” for COVID-19.

In its report released on Thursday, October 14, the Octa Research group said that the reproduction number in the capital region dropped to 0.6. The seven-day average cases also dipped to 1,847, which is 30% lower than the previous week.

Reproduction number or R is the number of people that one COVID-19 positive case can infect. Experts have said that the goal is to keep R below 1 to contain virus transmission.

“The NCR (National Capital Region) and all 17 constituent LGUs were classified as moderate risk using our metrics,” Octa said.

TABLE FROM OCTA

The report comes as the government’s national pandemic task force eased restrictions in the Philippine capital, placing it under Alert Level 3 from October 16 to 31 from Alert Level 4.

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The Octa Research Group has been the subject of congressional hearings for what lawmakers described “alarmist” in predicting outbreaks. Historically, government data analysts have been conservative with projections.

On Monday, October 11, the Department of Health (DOH) said that the number of COVID-19 cases in the country was indeed declining and this was validated by the also decreasing hospital admissions. But three regions in the country were still at “high-risk.”

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– Rappler.com

Bonz Magsambol

Bonz Magsambol is a multimedia reporter for Rappler, covering health, education, and social welfare. He first joined Rappler as a social media producer in 2016.