El Niño to hit Philippines, says PAGASA

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Weather bureau Pagasa predicts that the El Nino phenomenon will hit the country in the next few months

MANILA, Philippines – Weather bureau PAGASA predicts that the El Niño phenomenon will hit the country in the next few months.

A Philippine News Agency report says that dynamical and statistical model forecast suggests the El Niño will likely develop in August or September, and will last through the rest of the year.

PAGASA administrator Nathaniel Servando said that warmer sea surface temperature has strengthened in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific ocean since June, which is a typical development stage of El Niño.

Warmer temperatures observed below the surface of the entire equatorial Pacific Ocean represent a good indicator to sustain the evolving El Niño condition.

The El Niño phenomenon refers to the abnormal warming of the eastern part of the Pacific Ocean.

In the Philippines, the early stage of El Niño has brought an active southwest monsoon activity from July to August, generating enhanced rainfall over most areas of the country.

The height of El Niño will come by September, and will bring below normal rainfall condition in the eastern portions of northern and central Luzon, including Palawan, and some portions of western Visayas and Mindanao.

The rest of the country will likely experience near to above normal rainfall conditions and drier than normal rainfall by October. – Rappler.com

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