Tropical Depression Egay barely moving, still enhancing monsoon

Acor Arceo
Tropical Depression Egay barely moving, still enhancing monsoon
Most of Luzon, including Metro Manila, and Western Visayas are dealing with light to heavy rain from the southwest monsoon enhanced by Tropical Depression Egay

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MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Depression Egay was almost stationary or barely moving late Monday morning, July 1, as it continued to enhance the southwest monsoon or hanging habagat, which is dumping rain.

In a press briefing at 11 am on Monday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Egay remains 195 kilometers east northeast of Aparri, Cagayan, or 205 kilometers east of Calayan, Cagayan.

It still has maximum winds of 45 kilometers per hour (km/h) and gustiness of up to 60 km/h. It is expected to weaken into a low pressure area (LPA) within the next 12 to 24 hours.

Egay will not make landfall in the Philippines, but Signal No. 1 is raised in Batanes and the Babuyan Group of Islands since the tropical depression may pass near their area. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

PAGASA also warned that moderate to rough seas will prevail in the seaboards of Northern Luzon and the western seaboards of Central Luzon and Southern Luzon. Those with small seacraft should not set sail.

The rain from the southwest monsoon enhanced by Egay also persists in parts of the country, and may continue even until Tuesday, July 2.

Monday, July 1

  • Most of Luzon, including Metro Manila, and Western Visayas – light to heavy monsoon rain
  • Caraga, Davao Region, and the rest of the Visayas – scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms

Tuesday, July 2

  • Metro Manila, Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Zambales, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, and Palawan – monsoon rain

Residents of those areas, especially if they live in flood-prone or landslide-prone communities, must be on alert.

Classes were suspended for Monday in certain areas. (READ: #WalangPasok: Class suspensions, Monday, July 1)

Forecast track of Tropical Depression Egay as of July 1, 2019, 11 am. Image from PAGASA

Meanwhile, PAGASA is also monitoring an LPA outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

This LPA is 790 kilometers west of Ilocos Sur, and could become a tropical depression.

But PAGASA Senior Weather Specialist Chris Perez said the LPA is not expected to enter PAR, and will likely head for China or Vietnam.

Egay is the Philippines’ 5th tropical cyclone for 2019, after Amang in January, Betty in February, Chedeng in March, and Dodong also in June – all tropical depressions as well. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2019)

The Philippines gets an average of 20 tropical cyclones annually, but since 2019 is an El Niño year, only 14 to 18 tropical cyclones are expected.

Below is the estimated number of tropical cyclones from July to December:

  • July – 2 or 3
  • August – 2 to 4
  • September – 2 to 4
  • October – 2 or 3
  • November – 1 or 2
  • December – 0 or 1

PAGASA declared the start of the rainy season last June 14. –

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Acor Arceo

Acor Arceo is the head of copy and editorial standards at Rappler. Trained in both online and TV newsrooms, Acor ensures consistency in editorial standards across all sections and also supervises Rappler’s coverage of disasters.