Tropical Storm Falcon maintains strength, nears Northern Luzon

Acor Arceo
Tropical Storm Falcon maintains strength, nears Northern Luzon
Signal Nos. 1 and 2 remain up in several areas as Tropical Storm Falcon (Danas) approaches Northern Luzon late Tuesday night, July 16

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MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Storm Falcon (Danas) maintained its strength late Tuesday evening, July 16, as it moved closer to Northern Luzon.

In a bulletin issued 11 pm on Tuesday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Falcon is already 195 kilometers east southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.

It is still moving west, but at a slightly slower pace of 25 kilometers per hour (km/h) from the previous 30 km/h.

Falcon continues to have maximum winds of 65 km/h and gustiness of up to 80 km/h. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

Signal No. 2 remains raised in:

  • northeastern part of Cagayan including Babuyan Group of Islands
  • Batanes

Signal No. 1, meanwhile, is still up over:

  • rest of Cagayan
  • Ilocos Norte
  • Abra
  • Apayao
  • Kalinga
  • Isabela
  • Mountain Province
  • Ifugao
  • northern part of Aurora
  • northern part of Nueva Vizcaya
  • northern part of Quirino

PAGASA warned that Falcon could closely approach or make landfall over the Batanes-Babuyan area on Wednesday afternoon or evening, July 17.

The tropical storm also continues to enhance the southwest monsoon or hanging habagat, which is triggering rain as well.

Below is the latest on the expected rainfall:

Tuesday evening, July 16, until Wednesday evening, July 17

  • Moderate to heavy rain
    • Ilocos Region
    • Cordillera Administrative Region
    • Cagayan Valley
    • Nueva Ecija
    • Aurora
    • Zambales
    • Occidental Mindoro
    • northern part of Palawan including Calamian and Cuyo islands
    • Aklan
    • Antique
    • Capiz
    • Iloilo
    • Guimaras
  • Light to heavy rain
    • Metro Manila
    • Calabarzon
    • Bicol
    • rest of Central Luzon
    • rest of Mimaropa
    • rest of the Visayas

Wednesday evening, July 17, until Thursday evening, July 18

  • Moderate to heavy rain
    • Ilocos Region
    • Cordillera Administrative Region
    • Cagayan Valley
  • Light to heavy rain
    • Metro Manila
    • Central Luzon
    • Calabarzon
    • Mimaropa

Flash floods and landslides are possible in areas affected by Falcon and the enhanced southwest monsoon.

Classes have been suspended in some areas for Wednesday. (READ: #WalangPasok: Class suspensions, Wednesday, July 17, 2019)

Sea travel is also risky in the seaboards of areas under Signal Nos. 1 and 2, and in the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon, the seaboard of Southern Luzon, and the eastern and western seaboards of the Visayas.

Falcon is expected to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Friday, July 19.

Forecast track of Tropical Storm Falcon (Danas) as of July 16, 2019, 11 pm. Image from PAGASA

Falcon is the Philippines’ 6th tropical cyclone for 2019. The first 5 were all tropical depressions. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2019)

The Philippines gets an average of 20 tropical cyclones annually, but since 2019 is an El Niño year, only 14 to 18 tropical cyclones are expected.

Below is the estimated number of tropical cyclones from July to December:

  • July – 2 or 3
  • August – 2 to 4
  • September – 2 to 4
  • October – 2 or 3
  • November – 1 or 2
  • December – 0 or 1

PAGASA declared the start of the rainy season last June 14. – Rappler.com

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Acor Arceo

Acor Arceo is the head of copy and editorial standards at Rappler. Trained in both online and TV newsrooms, Acor ensures consistency in editorial standards across all sections and also supervises Rappler’s coverage of disasters.