PAGASA forecasts

LPA still ‘less likely’ to become tropical depression but rain persists

Acor Arceo
LPA still ‘less likely’ to become tropical depression but rain persists

Image from PAGASA

PAGASA warns of moderate to heavy rain in Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands on Friday, March 12

The Caraga region in Mindanao will continue to see the heaviest rain from the low pressure area (LPA) that has affected parts of the country in the past couple of days.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said in an 11 am advisory on Friday, March 12, that the LPA is now 70 kilometers southwest of Zamboanga City.

PAGASA said the LPA may generally move west northwest, toward the Sulu Sea and the southern part of Palawan.

It is still “less likely” to become a tropical depression, but rain will continue on Friday. Floods and landslides remain possible. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

Below is the state weather bureau’s latest rainfall forecast for Friday.

Moderate to heavy rain
  • Surigao del Norte
  • Surigao del Sur
  • Dinagat Islands
Light to moderate rain, with at times heavy rain
  • rest of Caraga
  • Davao Region
  • Eastern Visayas
  • Bicol
  • Quezon
  • Palawan

Caraga was also affected by the Philippines’ first tropical cyclone for 2021, Auring (Dujuan), back in February. Auring briefly peaked as a severe tropical storm but eventually hit land as a tropical depression.

The Philippines usually gets around 20 tropical cyclones per year. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2021)

For the next 6 months, these are PAGASA’s latest predictions for the number of tropical cyclones:

  • March – 0 or 1
  • April – 0 or 1
  • May – 0 or 1
  • June – 1 or 2
  • July – 1 to 3
  • August – 2 or 3

La Niña, which causes above normal rainfall, is still ongoing. It began in October 2020. – Rappler.com

Acor Arceo

Acor Arceo is the head of copy and editorial standards at Rappler. Trained in both online and TV newsrooms, Acor supervises Rappler’s coverage of disasters, handles the business desk, and ensures consistency in editorial standards across all sections.