Severe Tropical Storm Jolina (Conson) made its seventh landfall in Torrijos, Marinduque, at 12:50 am on Wednesday, September 8.

Jolina was a typhoon during its first six landfalls. So far, it has made landfall in these areas:

Monday, September 6

• Hernani, Eastern Samar – 10 pm

Tuesday, September 7

• Daram, Samar – 2 am
• Santo Niño, Samar – 3:40 am
• Almagro, Samar – 6:30 am
• Tagapul-an, Samar – 7:50 am
• Dimasalang, Masbate – 10 am

Wednesday, September 8

• Torrijos, Marinduque – 12:50 am

By 1 am on Wednesday, the center of the severe tropical storm was already in the vicinity of Buenavista, Marinduque, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) in a bulletin released past 2 am.

Jolina was moving west northwest at the same speed of 15 kilometers per hour (km/h).

It continues to have maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h and gustiness of up to 125 km/h.

Below is PAGASA’s updated rainfall forecast for Wednesday. The state weather bureau reiterated that under these conditions, scattered to widespread floods and landslides are possible.

Heavy to intense rain, with at times torrential rain

• Romblon
• Marinduque
• Quezon
• Batangas
• Laguna
• Camarines Norte
• Camarines Sur

Moderate to heavy rain, with at times intense rain

• Metro Manila
• Aurora
• Bulacan
• Bataan
• Cavite
• Rizal
• Oriental Mindoro
• Occidental Mindoro
• northern part of Palawan
• rest of Bicol
• Panay Island

Parts of Luzon and a few areas in the Visayas remain under Signal Nos. 1 and 2 as of 2 am on Wednesday. (READ: Why is it now called tropical cyclone ‘wind’ – and not ‘warning’ – signals?)

Signal No. 2 (damaging gale-force to storm-force winds)

• Romblon
• Marinduque
• northern and central parts of Oriental Mindoro (Bansud, Gloria, Pinamalayan, Pola, Socorro, Victoria, Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, Calapan City, Naujan)
• northern part of Occidental Mindoro (Abra de Ilog, Paluan) including Lubang Islands
• Quezon including Polillo Islands
• Batangas
• Cavite
• Laguna
• Rizal
• Metro Manila
• Bulacan
• Pampanga
• Bataan
• southern part of Zambales (San Marcelino, San Antonio, Castillejos, Subic, Olongapo City, Botolan, Cabangan, San Felipe, San Narciso)

Signal No. 1 (strong winds with occasional gusts)

• La Union
• southern part of Benguet (Sablan, Tublay, Bokod, La Trinidad, Baguio City, Itogon, Tuba, Kapangan, Atok)
• southern part of Nueva Vizcaya (Alfonso Castañeda, Dupax del Norte, Dupax del Sur, Aritao, Santa Fe, Kayapa)
• southern part of Quirino (Nagtipunan)
• southern part of Aurora (Dipaculao, Baler, Maria Aurora, San Luis, Dingalan)
• Pangasinan
• Tarlac
• Nueva Ecija
• rest of Zambales
• Camarines Norte
• Camarines Sur
• western and central parts of Albay (Pio Duran, Jovellar, Ligao City, Oas, Guinobatan, Camalig, Legazpi City, Malinao, Polangui, Libon, Tiwi, Daraga, Manito, Tabaco City, Malilipot, Santo Domingo, Bacacay)
• northwestern part of Sorsogon (Donsol, Pilar, Castilla)
• western and central parts of Masbate (Mandaon, Baleno, Dimasalang, Balud, Masbate City, Milagros, Uson, Mobo, Aroroy) including Burias and Ticao Islands
• rest of Oriental Mindoro
• rest of Occidental Mindoro
• northwestern part of Antique (Caluya)
• northern part of Aklan (Batan, Makato, Numancia, Banga, Kalibo, Malinao, Buruanga, New Washington, Tangalan, Ibajay, Malay, Lezo, Nabas)

PAGASA also warned that storm surges up to 1.5 meters high may hit several coastal areas of Quezon, possibly threatening life and property.

“In addition, coastal areas of localities under [tropical cyclone wind signals], especially those at No. 2, may also experience coastal flooding due to hazardous surf conditions,” added the state weather bureau.

PAGASA maintained its warning against travel in seaboards affected by Jolina on Wednesday.

Rough to very rough seas (waves 2.5 to 5 meters high)

Travel risky for all vessels, inexperienced mariners should seek safe harbor

• seaboards of areas under Signal No. 2

Moderate to rough seas (waves 1.2 to 2.8 meters high)

Small vessels must take precautionary measures, inexperienced mariners should avoid navigation

• seaboards of areas under Signal No. 1
• remaining seaboards of Visayas

Following its landfall in Marinduque, Jolina is expected to move over Tayabas Bay, then make its eighth landfall in the eastern part of Batangas on Wednesday morning.

PAGASA, however, is not ruling out the possibility of Jolina further shifting southwest and instead making landfall in the northern part of Oriental Mindoro.

Jolina could cross the Batangas-Cavite area afterwards and emerge over Manila Bay on Wednesday evening.

Then it could make yet another landfall in Bataan. As it crosses mainland Luzon, Jolina may also weaken into a tropical storm.

Finally, Jolina could emerge over the West Philippine Sea on Thursday morning, September 9. It may regain strength beginning Thursday afternoon as it heads for the southern China-northern Vietnam area.

It is likely to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday morning, September 10. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

PAGASA

Aside from Jolina, Typhoon Kiko (Chanthu) is also inside PAR.

Kiko was located 1,300 kilometers east of Central Luzon late Tuesday evening, September 7, still too far to affect the Philippines.

PAGASA’s next bulletin on the typhoon will be issued at 5 am on Wednesday.

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Jolina and Kiko are the Philippines’ 10th and 11th tropical cyclones for 2021.

An average of 20 tropical cyclones form within or enter PAR each year. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2021)

For the next six months, these are PAGASA’s estimates for the number of tropical cyclones inside PAR:

2021

• September – 2 or 3
• October – 2 or 3
• November – 2 or 3
• December – 1 or 2

2022

• January – 0 or 1
• February – 0 or 1

– Rappler.com