There are now two tropical cyclones inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, as a severe tropical storm with the international name Chanthu entered PAR at 5:30 pm on Tuesday, September 7.

Chanthu was given the local name Kiko, as the Philippines’ 11th tropical cyclone for 2021.

It joins Severe Tropical Storm Jolina (Conson), which has been affecting parts of the country since Monday, September 6.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said it will issue its first bulletin on Kiko at 11 pm on Tuesday. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

Meanwhile, Jolina continued to weaken over the Sibuyan Sea, as it made its way toward the southern Quezon-Marinduque area late Tuesday afternoon.

Jolina was last spotted 60 kilometers west northwest of Masbate City, Masbate, or 90 kilometers east of Romblon, Romblon, said PAGASA in a bulletin released past 5 pm.

The severe tropical storm is still moving west northwest at 15 kilometers per hour (km/h).

It now has maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h from the previous 110 km/h and gustiness of up to 125 km/h from the previous 135 km/h.

Jolina was a typhoon at its peak. It remains a threat, however, with rainfall and wind warnings still in place.

The rainfall forecast for the next 24 hours now includes Metro Manila and Aurora. Areas in Jolina’s path must stay on alert for floods and landslides.

Heavy to intense rain, with at times torrential rain

• Masbate
• Sorsogon
• Albay
• Catanduanes
• Camarines Norte
• Camarines Sur
• southern part of Quezon
• Romblon
• Marinduque
• Oriental Mindoro
• Occidental Mindoro

Moderate to heavy rain, with at times intense rain

• rest of Calabarzon
• Metro Manila
• Aurora
• Western Visayas

All the areas remaining under Signal No. 2 as of 5 pm on Tuesday are in Luzon. Parts of Luzon and the Visayas are still under Signal No. 1. (READ: Why is it now called tropical cyclone ‘wind’ – and not ‘warning’ – signals?)

Signal No. 2 (damaging gale-force to storm-force winds)

• central and southern parts of Quezon (Tagkawayan, Guinayangan, Lopez, Buenavista, San Narciso, San Andres, San Francisco, Mulanay, Catanauan, General Luna, Macalelon, Calauag, Gumaca, Pitogo, Unisan, Atimonan, Plaridel, Agdangan, Padre Burgos, Quezon, Alabat, Perez, Mauban, Tayabas City, Sampaloc, Lucban, Pagbilao, Lucena City, Sariaya, Candelaria, Dolores, Tiaong, San Antonio, Real)
• southern part of Rizal (Binangonan, Cardona, Jala-Jala, Pililla)
• Laguna
• southeastern part of Batangas (Calaca, Laurel, Lemery, Talisay, San Nicolas, Balete, Tanauan City, Santo Tomas, Malvar, Lipa City, Mataasnakahoy, Cuenca, Agoncillo, Taal, Santa Teresita, Alitagtag, San Jose, Batangas City, Ibaan, Taysan, Lobo, Rosario, San Juan, Padre Garcia, San Pascual, Bauan, Mabini, San Luis, Tingloy)
• northeastern part of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, Calapan City, Naujan, Victoria, Pola, Socorro, Pinamalayan, Gloria)
• Marinduque
• Romblon
• Sorsogon
• western part of Albay (Polangui, Oas, Ligao City, Guinobatan, Camalig, Daraga, Legazpi City, Manito, Jovellar, Pio Duran, Libon)
• Masbate including Ticao and Burias Islands
• western and southern part of Camarines Sur (Bato, Nabua, Balatan, Iriga City, Baao, Bula, Ocampo, Pili, Naga City, Canaman, Pamplona, Milaor, Gainza, Camaligan, San Fernando, Minalabac, Pasacao, Libmanan, Magarao, Cabusao, Bombon, Sipocot, Lupi, Ragay, Del Gallego)
• western part of Camarines Norte (Paracale, Jose Panganiban, Capalonga, Santa Elena, Labo, San Vicente, San Lorenzo Ruiz)

Signal No. 1 (strong winds with occasional gusts)

• southern part of Aurora (Dipaculao, Maria Aurora, Baler, San Luis, Dingalan)
• southern part of Quirino (Nagtipunan)
• southern part of Nueva Vizcaya (Alfonso Castañeda, Dupax del Sur, Dupax del Norte, Aritao, Santa Fe)
• Nueva Ecija
• Pangasinan
• Tarlac
• Zambales
• Bataan
• Bulacan
• Pampanga
• Metro Manila
• rest of Rizal
• rest of Quezon
• Cavite
• rest of Batangas
• rest of Oriental Mindoro
• Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island
• rest of Camarines Norte
• rest of Camarines Sur
• Catanduanes
• rest of Albay
• western part of Northern Samar (Pambujan, San Roque, Silvino Lobos, Mondragon, Lope de Vega, Catarman, Bobon, Victoria, San Jose, Rosario, Lavezares, Allen, Biri, San Isidro, Capul, San Antonio)
• northwestern part of Samar (Calbayog City, Santa Margarita, Santo Niño, Almagro, Tagapul-an)
• Biliran
• northwestern part of Leyte (San Isidro, Calubian, Leyte, Tabango, Villaba)
• northern part of Cebu (Daanbantayan, Medellin, Bogo City, San Remigio, Santa Fe, Bantayan Islands, Tabogon)
• northern part of Negros Occidental (Escalante City, Sagay City, Cadiz City, Manapla, Victorias City, Enrique B. Magalona)
• Capiz
• Aklan
• northern part of Iloilo (Carles, Balasan, Batad, San Dionisio, Sara, Concepcion, Ajuy, Lemery, Barotac Viejo, San Rafael, Passi City, Bingawan, San Enrique, Banate, Estancia)
• northwestern part of Antique (Caluya)

Storm surges 0.5 to 1 meter high could hit coastal areas in the following provinces in the next 24 hours, possibly threatening life and property:

• Biliran
• Sorsogon
• Samar
• Masbate

“In addition, coastal areas of localities under [tropical cyclone wind signals]…may experience coastal flooding due to hazardous surf conditions,” PAGASA said.

Sea trips remain suspended due to Jolina as well.

Rough to very rough seas (waves 2.5 to 5 meters high)

Travel risky for all vessels, inexperienced mariners should seek safe harbor

• seaboards of areas under Signal No. 2

Moderate to rough seas (waves 1.2 to 2.8 meters high)

Small vessels must take precautionary measures, inexperienced mariners should avoid navigation

• seaboards of areas under Signal No. 1
• remaining seaboards of Visayas

PAGASA sees Jolina maintaining its west northwest direction over the Sibuyan Sea in the next 12 hours, or until the early hours of Wednesday, September 8.

Jolina could make landfall or pass near the Marinduque-southern Quezon area on Wednesday morning, then cross Tayabas Bay and make another landfall in the southwestern part of Quezon by Wednesday afternoon.

Jolina had made landfall six times as a typhoon:

Monday, September 6

• Hernani, Eastern Samar – 10 pm

Tuesday, September 7

• Daram, Samar – 2 am
• Santo Niño, Samar – 3:40 am
• Almagro, Samar – 6:30 am
• Tagapul-an, Samar – 7:50 am
• Dimasalang, Masbate – 10 am

After hitting Quezon on Wednesday afternoon, Jolina may cross other parts of Calabarzon – south of Metro Manila – and Central Luzon before leaving landmass. It is likely to weaken into a tropical storm during this period.

Finally, Jolina could emerge over the West Philippine Sea before noon on Thursday, September 9. It may regain strength beginning Thursday afternoon as it heads for the southern China-northern Vietnam area.

It is likely to leave PAR on Friday morning, September 10.

PAGASA

For the next six months, these are PAGASA’s estimates for the number of tropical cyclones inside PAR:

2021

• September – 2 or 3
• October – 2 or 3
• November – 2 or 3
• December – 1 or 2

2022

• January – 0 or 1
• February – 0 or 1

An average of 20 tropical cyclones form within or enter PAR each year. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2021) – Rappler.com