Philippine tropical cyclones

Severe Tropical Storm Maring passes very close to Cagayan’s Camiguin Island

Acor Arceo

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Severe Tropical Storm Maring passes very close to Cagayan’s Camiguin Island

MARING. Satellite image of Severe Tropical Storm Maring (Kompasu) as of October 11, 2021, 7 pm.

NOAA

Severe Tropical Storm Maring (Kompasu) is expected to keep crossing the Luzon Strait until early Tuesday morning, October 12

Severe Tropical Storm Maring (Kompasu) passed very close to Camiguin Island, part of the Babuyan Group of Islands and under the municipality of Calayan in the province of Cagayan, early Monday evening, October 11.

By 7 pm, Maring was over the coastal waters of Calayan, moving west at a slightly faster 25 kilometers per hour from the previous 20 km/h.

It is expected to keep crossing the Luzon Strait until early Tuesday morning, October 12.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) noted that there remains a chance of landfall in the northern part of mainland Cagayan or Ilocos Norte.

At the moment, Maring still has maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h and gustiness of up to 115 km/h. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

The weather bureau warned that rain from the severe tropical storm will persist until Tuesday morning. Northern Luzon and Central Luzon must stay on alert for flash floods and landslides.

Heavy to intense rain, with at times torrential rain
  • Batanes
  • northern part of mainland Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
  • Ilocos Norte
  • Ilocos Sur
  • Apayao
  • Abra
  • Mountain Province
  • Benguet
Moderate to heavy rain, with at times intense rain
  • rest of mainland Cagayan
  • rest of Ilocos Region
  • rest of Cordillera Administrative Region
Light to moderate rain, with at times heavy rain
  • rest of Cagayan Valley
  • Central Luzon

Maring also continues to enhance the southwest monsoon or hanging habagat, which could trigger flash floods and landslides as well.

Monsoon rain
  • Visayas
  • Zamboanga Peninsula
  • Palawan
  • Occidental Mindoro
  • Oriental Mindoro

Other areas affected by scattered rain showers and thunderstorms from the enhanced southwest monsoon include:

  • Metro Manila
  • Calabarzon
  • Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao
  • Soccsksargen

Signal No. 1 was lifted for the Calaguas Islands in Camarines Norte as of 8 pm on Monday. But the rest on the list remain under tropical cyclone wind signals:

Signal No. 2 (damaging gale-force to storm-force winds)
  • Batanes
  • Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
  • northern part of Isabela (Palanan, Divilacan, Maconacon, Ilagan City, Tumauini, Cabagan, San Pablo, Santa Maria, Santo Tomas, Delfin Albano, Quirino, Gamu, Roxas, Mallig, Quezon)
  • Apayao
  • Kalinga
  • Mountain Province
  • Abra
  • Ilocos Norte
  • Ilocos Sur
Signal No. 1 (strong winds)
  • rest of Isabela
  • Nueva Vizcaya
  • Quirino
  • Ifugao
  • Benguet
  • La Union
  • Pangasinan
  • Aurora
  • Nueva Ecija
  • Tarlac
  • Zambales
  • Pampanga
  • Bulacan
  • northern part of Bataan (Samal, Morong, Dinalupihan, Abucay, Orani, Hermosa)
  • northern part of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta) including Polillo Islands

Occasional gusts remain possible in island, coastal, and mountainous areas of most places in the country due to Maring’s “expansive wind field” and the enhanced southwest monsoon.

  • rest of Luzon
  • Visayas
  • Dinagat Islands
  • Surigao del Norte
  • Agusan del Norte
  • Misamis Oriental
  • Misamis Occidental
  • Camiguin
  • Zamboanga del Norte

PAGASA also warned that there is a “minimal to moderate risk” of life-threatening storm surges up to 1 meter high in the next 24 hours.

“Rising seawater along with the high waves from the shoreline moving inland may cause flooding in the low-lying coastal localities of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, and Ilocos Norte,” the weather bureau said.

Meanwhile, PAGASA updated warnings for the Philippines’ coastal waters due to both Maring and the surge of the southwest monsoon.

Rough to high seas (waves 2.8 to 7.5 meters high)

Conditions risky for all vessels

  • seaboards of areas under Signal Nos. 1 and 2
Rough to very rough seas (waves 2.8 to 4.5 meters high)

Small vessels advised not to sail, larger vessels alerted against big waves

  • seaboards of Southern Luzon and Visayas
  • western seaboard of Central Luzon
  • eastern, northern, and western seaboards of Mindanao
Moderate to rough seas (waves 1.2 to 2.8 meters high)

Conditions risky for small vessels

  • remaining seaboards of the country

Maring is likely to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Tuesday morning.

Outside PAR, it could intensify into a typhoon on Tuesday evening.

It may make landfall in the Chinese island province of Hainan on Wednesday afternoon, October 13, and possibly weaken as it interacts with southern China’s landmass.

PROJECTED PATH. Forecast track of Severe Tropical Storm Maring (Kompasu) as of October 11, 2021, 8 pm.
PAGASA

Maring is the Philippines’ 13th tropical cyclone for 2021 and the second for October.

On Sunday morning, October 10, Maring had completed its merger with the remnant low that was formerly Tropical Depression Nando. The two tropical cyclones had interacted over the Philippine Sea, resulting in the merger.

Nando, the Philippines’ 14th tropical cyclone for 2021, had no impact on weather in the country.

An average of 20 tropical cyclones form within or enter PAR each year. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2021)

These are PAGASA’s latest estimates for the next six months:

2021
  • October – 2 or 3
  • November – 2 or 3
  • December – 1 or 2
2022
  • January – 0 or 1
  • February – 0 or 1
  • March – 0 or 1

The weather bureau is also monitoring the possible emergence of La Niña in the fourth quarter of 2021. – Rappler.com

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Acor Arceo

Acor Arceo is the head of copy and editorial standards at Rappler. Trained in both online and TV newsrooms, Acor ensures consistency in editorial standards across all sections and also supervises Rappler’s coverage of disasters.