Tropical Storm Dante exits PAR but may reenter

Tropical Storm Dante (Choi-wan) left the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 2 am on Friday, June 4, but it could enter again.

In a bulletin issued 5 am on Friday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Dante was already 285 kilometers northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte, or 325 kilometers west of Calayan, Cagayan, outside PAR.

The tropical storm was moving north at 20 kilometers per hour, still with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h while its gustiness is up to 80 km/h.

PAGASA said Dante is expected to shift north northeast or northeast, which would lead to the tropical storm reentering PAR on Friday afternoon.

Then Dante may pass very near to or make landfall in the southern part of Taiwan, possibly in the Pingtung County area, on Friday evening. Taiwan, with its proximity to the Philippines, is still within PAR.

Afterwards, Dante could continue heading northeast toward the East China Sea.

PAGASA said Dante is likely to maintain its strength until its landfall or close approach to Taiwan. Then it might weaken into a tropical depression and eventually transition into an extratropical cyclone on Saturday, June 5, over the East China Sea.

An extratropical cyclone is a "low pressure system which develops in latitudes outside the tropics," according to the World Meteorological Organization.

Finally, Dante could exit PAR again on Saturday. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

Dante first entered PAR last Sunday, May 30. It brought rain to parts of Mindanao, the Visayas, and Luzon, causing floods and landslides. Signal Nos. 1 and 2 were also raised.

The tropical storm made landfall eight times – the first in the Visayas and the rest in Luzon.

Tuesday, June 1

  • Sulat, Eastern Samar - 8:30 pm

Wednesday, June 2

  • Cataingan, Masbate - 1 am
  • Balud, Masbate - 3:30 am
  • Romblon, Romblon - 8 am
  • San Agustin, Romblon - 8:50 am
  • Pola, Oriental Mindoro - 2 pm
  • Maricaban Island, Tingloy, Batangas - 7:20 pm
  • Calatagan, Batangas - 8 pm

The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council said on Thursday, June 3, it was verifying initial reports that Dante left at least four people dead, seven missing, and two injured.

PROJECTED PATH. Forecast track of Tropical Storm Dante (Choi-wan) as of June 4, 2021, 5 am.

PAGASA

PAGASA said on Friday that a gale warning remains in effect for the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon. Seas are rough to very rough, with waves 2.5 to 4.5 meters high.

The state weather bureau warned that travel is risky for small vessels in those seaboards, while "mariners without the proper experience should immediately seek safe harbor."

PAGASA also continues to monitor a low pressure area (LPA) inside PAR, located 690 kilometers east of Legazpi City, Albay, before dawn on Friday.

PAGASA Weather Specialist Shelly Ignacio says the LPA could dissipate within 24 to 48 hours. Its chances of becoming a tropical cyclone are slim, so far.

Dante was the Philippines' fourth tropical cyclone for 2021. The country has an average of 20 tropical cyclones every year. (READ: LIST: PAGASA's names for tropical cyclones in 2021)

For June to November, PAGASA estimates the following number of tropical cyclones inside PAR:

  • June - 1 to 3
  • July - 2 to 4
  • August - 2 or 3
  • September - 2 or 3
  • October - 2 or 3
  • November - 2 or 3

The state weather bureau is expected to declare the onset of the rainy season and the southwest monsoon or hanging habagat within the first half of June. – Rappler.com

Acor Arceo

Acor Arceo is the head of copy and editorial standards at Rappler. Trained in both online and TV newsrooms, Acor supervises Rappler’s coverage of disasters, handles the business desk, and ensures consistency in editorial standards across all sections.

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