Typhoon Kammuri strengthens as it slowly heads for PAR

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MANILA, Philippines – Typhoon Kammuri gained more strength as it continued to make its way toward the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday morning, November 29.

In a press briefing past 11 am on Friday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Kammuri now has maximum winds of 140 kilometers per hour (km/h) from 120 km/h exactly a day ago, and gustiness of up to 170 km/h from 150 km/h.

According to PAGASA, Kammuri is likely to steadily intensify since it remains over water, but it may remain within typhoon category.

"The intensification of Kammuri into a super typhoon is less likely at this time, but not ruled out," added PAGASA.

A typhoon has maximum winds of 118 km/h to 220 km/h, while a super typhoon has maximum winds exceeding 220 km/h, based on PAGASA's classification system.

Kammuri is already 1,470 kilometers east of Southern Luzon, slowly moving northwest.

It is expected to enter PAR between Saturday, November 30, and Sunday, December 1, if it maintains its current speed and direction.

When Kammuri enters PAR, it will be given the local name Tisoy. (READ: LIST: PAGASA's names for tropical cyclones in 2019)

As early as Sunday, PAGASA may raise Signal No. 1 in the eastern part of the Bicol-Eastern Visayas area. This means winds of 30 km/h to 60 km/h may be experienced there in 36 hours – an advanced warning given so residents can prepare.

Maritime trips could be canceled once tropical cyclone wind signals are raised as well. (READ: FAST FACTS: Tropical cyclones, rainfall advisories)

Starting Monday, December 2, Kammuri or the potential Tisoy could trigger moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms in Bicol, Samar, Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar. These areas would be the first to experience rain from the typhoon.

Landfall is possible in the Bicol area on Tuesday, December 3.

On Tuesday until Wednesday morning, December 4, most areas in Central Luzon, Bicol, Southern Luzon, and Metro Manila may experience heavy to intense rain and strong winds as Kammuri crosses landmass.

These include areas where the 2019 Southeast Asian (SEA) Games are being held.

PAGASA Senior Weather Specialist Chris Perez also emphasized that since Kammuri would have a wide diameter – possibly reaching around 300 to 400 kilometers – it would affect more areas.

"Kahit Southern Luzon 'yung tatawirin ng sentro, 'yung lawak ng bagyo ay maaapektuhan po ang...ilang bahagi ng Northern Luzon, then generally Gitnang Luzon, then itong ilang bahagi...ng Eastern Visayas," Perez said.

(Even though the eye of the typhoon will cross Southern Luzon, due to its wide diameter it will also affect parts of Northern Luzon, then generally Central Luzon, then some parts of Eastern Visayas.)

By Wednesday morning, Kammuri is likely to have made its exit from landmass, but it will still be inside PAR.

Forecast track of Typhoon Kammuri as of November 29, 2019, 11 am.

Image from PAGASA

PAGASA warned that areas in the typhoon's path are at risk of flash floods and landslides. Local government units and residents are advised to prepare ahead of time.

PAGASA also earlier said it is coordinating with the Philippine Southeast Asian Games Organizing Committee for weather updates specifically for venues of the SEA Games events.

Kammuri or the potential Tisoy would be the Philippines' 20th tropical cyclone for 2019.

The country gets an average of 20 tropical cyclones annually. In the earlier part of the year, only 14 to 18 tropical cyclones had been projected since 2019 is an El Niño year.

For the month of December, PAGASA is expecting 0 to 1 tropical cyclone.

PAGASA declared the start of the rainy season last June 14. – Rappler.com

Acor Arceo

Acor Arceo is the head of copy and editorial standards at Rappler. Trained in both online and TV newsrooms, Acor supervises Rappler’s coverage of disasters, handles the business desk, and ensures consistency in editorial standards across all sections.

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