Election fact checks

FALSE: 2022 preference survey results from Pulse Asia, SWS, PPCRV, KBP

Rappler.com

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FALSE: 2022 preference survey results from Pulse Asia, SWS, PPCRV, KBP
No evidence can be found that the said organizations conducted surveys with the given results
At a glance
  • Claim: A photo in a Facebook post shows purported survey results about presidential preferences for the May 2022 elections, with results claimed to be from Pulse Asia, Social Weather Stations (SWS), Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting (PPCRV), and Kapisanan ng mga Brodkaster ng Pilipinas (KBP).
  • Rating: FALSE
  • The facts: No evidence can be found that the said organizations conducted surveys with the given results.
  • Why we fact-checked this: The claim was found in a post in the Facebook group “Bongbong Marcos for President 2022” on July 3, with 544 reactions, 696 comments, and 53 shares as of writing. Versions of the post with different numbers are also circulating.
Complete details

A July 3 post on the Facebook group “Bongbong Marcos for President 2022” showed a photo with supposed presidential preference survey results for the May 2022 elections. The results were claimed to be from Pulse Asia, Social Weather Stations (SWS), Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting (PPCRV), and Kapisanan ng mga Brodkaster ng Pilipinas (KBP). 

The post said: “Election Poll para sa 2022 Presidential Elections Ayon sa Survey Poll ng Pulse Asia SWS PPCRV at KBP Survey na Pumili ng Sino ang Gusto [mong manalo].” (Election poll for the 2022 presidential elections according to the survey poll of Pulse Asia, SWS, PPCRV, and KBP survey wherein you choose whom you want [to win.])

As of writing, the post had 544 reactions, 696 comments, and 53 shares. Versions of the post with different results are also circulating.

The claimed results are false.

Through an email to Rappler, Pulse Asia president Ronald Holmes said that they have not done the survey featured in the Facebook post.

As of the time the Facebook post was made, the latest survey that Pulse Asia conducted regarding presidential preferences was the February 2021 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 Elections, whose results were released on April 24. The results for presidential prospects are shown on Table 1.

Respondents were asked whom they would vote for as president if the May 2022 elections were held right away with the given candidates on the list. Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte led for the entire Philippines with a national voter preference of 27%.

It can also be seen that the totals in each column in the Pulse Asia survey sum to nearly 100% (the difference with 100% is just a rounding error).

Since then, Pulse Asia has posted its results for the June 2021 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 Elections on July 13. It had also posted its results for the November 2020 Nationwide Survey on the May 2022 Elections on December 31, 2020. In both cases, the leading presidential preference for the entire country was Sara Duterte as well.

Also, through an email, SWS Director for Communication and Information Technology Leo Laroza enjoined the public to “rely on the SWS website for its official reports and survey figures.” 

The survey results on the Facebook post also cannot be found in any release by the PPCRV, a Catholic Church-affiliated organization that describes itself as “a non-partisan, non-profit organization in the Philippines that works and strives for better elections,” or the KBP, a non-profit and non-governmental organization of Philippine broadcasters. 

PPCRV, through an email, denied that they had any part in conducting the survey with the results shown in the Facebook post, and remarked too that the results don’t even add up to 100%. 

Rappler has written fact checks about May 2022 presidential preference surveys, such as the following:

– Percival Bueser/Rappler.com

Percival Bueser is a graduate of Rappler’s fact-checking mentorship program. This fact check was reviewed by a member of Rappler’s research team and a senior editor. Learn more about Rappler’s fact-checking mentorship program here.

Keep us aware of suspicious Facebook pages, groups, accounts, websites, articles, or photos in your network by contacting us at factcheck@rappler.com. Let us battle disinformation one Fact Check at a time.

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