PAGASA forecasts

Tropical Depression Gener enters PAR, but not a threat

Acor Arceo

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Tropical Depression Gener enters PAR, but not a threat

Image from PAGASA

'Gener is unlikely to bring high-impact weather over any part of the country,' says PAGASA on Thursday morning, August 13

The tropical depression northeast of extreme Northern Luzon entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 4 am on Thursday, August 13.

It was given the local name Gener, and is the country’s 7th tropical cyclone for 2020.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said in a bulletin at 11 am on Thursday that Tropical Depression Gener is located 870 kilometers east northeast of Basco, Batanes.

It is moving west southwest at 20 kilometers per hour (km/h), and will just move near the PAR’s northern boundary.

This means Gener will remain far from Philippine landmass. No landfall is expected and there will be no tropical cyclone wind signals raised.

Forecast track of Tropical Depression Gener as of August 13, 2020, 11 am.
Image from PAGASA

At the moment, the tropical depression has maximum winds of 45 km/h and gustiness of up to 55 km/h.

But PAGASA said Gener is likely to weaken into a low pressure area within 12 to 24 hours.

“Gener is unlikely to bring high-impact weather over any part of the country,” the state weather bureau added.

An average of 20 tropical cyclones form within or enter PAR each year. Only around half of these make landfall. (READ: LIST: PAGASA’s names for tropical cyclones in 2020)

In PAGASA’s climate outlook, it gave the following estimates for the number of tropical cyclones inside PAR for the rest of 2020:

  • August – 2 or 3
  • September – 2 or 3
  • October – 2 or 3
  • November – 1 or 2
  • December – 1 or 2

PAGASA declared the start of the rainy season on June 12. –

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Acor Arceo

Acor Arceo is the head of copy and editorial standards at Rappler. Trained in both online and TV newsrooms, Acor ensures consistency in editorial standards across all sections and also supervises Rappler’s coverage of disasters.