Duterte leads in CDO – Xavier University survey

Stephen Pedroza
The survey also indicates that incumbent Mayor Oscar Moreno, 2nd District Rep Rufus Rodriguez, and former Mayor Vicente Emano are locked in a statistical tie in the mayoral race

BISAYA VOTE. Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte talks to the media after the 1st presidential debate held in Cagayan de Oro City. Photo by Bobby Lagsa/Rappler

CAGAYAN DE ORO CITY, Philippines — Cagayan de Oro City preferred Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte to be the 16th President of the Republic of the Philippines, according to the results of the Xavier University’s Kinaadman Research Center (KRC) survey.

Duterte took the top spot in the presidential race with 47.50% of votes in CDO, the capital city of Misamis Oriental, which has 305,321 registered voters for the May 2016 elections.

Senator Grace Poe, who received 19.13% of the votes, was in a statistical tie with Vice President Jejomar Binay, who garnered 16.3%. 

Former DILG Secretary Mar Roxas landed in the 4th place with 12.25%, while Senator Miriam Santiago got the last spot with 0.13%.

According to the survey, only 4.62% of the respondents were undecided. The margin of error is at plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

The survey on voters’ preference for national and local candidates was conducted from March 12 to 16, after the first presidential debate was held at Capitol University in CDO on February 21.

From February 19 to 20, XU’s social advocacy arm, Kristohanong Katilingban sa Pagpakabana – Social Involvement Office (KKP-SIO), sponsored a mock poll in the university campus, where Duterte also ranked first.

Vice presidential race

The race for the second highest position in the country is shaping up to be a tight one in CDO.

The survey results for the vice presidential race revealed a statistical tie among Peter Cayetano (21.12%), Ferdinand Marcos Jr (21.12%), and Francis Escudero (21.00%).

Leni Robredo got the nod of 16.88% of voters, followed by Antonio Trillanes with 7.00%, and Gringo Honasan with 5.62%. 

Around 7.25% of the voters in CDO are still undecided. The margin of error is at plus or minus 3 percentage points.

CDO’s mayoral seat

Results of the survey on voters’ preference in CDO also indicated incumbent Mayor Oscar Moreno, 2nd District Representative Rufus Rodriguez, and former Mayor Vicente Emano in a three-way statistical tie for the city’s highest position.

Emano is the preferred choice of 31.75% of respondents. Moreno got 30.50%, and Rodriguez with 25.75%. Undecided voters accounted for 11.88%.  The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the city level. 

A statistical tie among the candidates showed that none of them has a significant lead over the other contenders or that any of them can win the particular position.

Vote-rich CDO

Fully funded by Xavier University, KRC surveyed 800 proportionally distributed respondents from Districts 1 and 2, using a systematic random sampling in the selection of households. 

A second survey will be conducted by KRC closer to the election date, with an expected release date on the first week of May.

Known as the “Gateway to Northern Mindanao,” the vote-rich city of Cagayan de Oro boasted an 80.61% voter turnout in 2013.

CDO also serves as the regional center and central business hub of Region X or Northern Mindanao, the second most vote-rich region in Mindanao with 2.46 million registered voters. – Rappler.com

A former Rappler intern during the 2013 elections, Stephen Pedroza is Rappler’s lead mover in Cagayan de Oro City.