Roxas, Robredo win in Ateneo de Manila University mock polls

Rappler.com
The results are at odds with several other recent national and university polls

MANILA, Philippines – Liberal Party standard-bearer Manuel Roxas II and his running mate Leni Robredo led the mock polls held in the first week of April at the Ateneo de Manila University’s 3 campuses.

Roxas topped the polls with 37.2% of the vote – or 875 of the 2,351 votes cast for president. Robredo received 74.86% of the vote for vice president, or 1,760 of the total votes.

According to the Ateneo Task Force, a total of 2,351 students, staff, and employees participated in the mock polls. The group noted, however, that “the number of actual voters does not constitute a representative sample of all eligible voters in the university.”

The mock polls were conducted at Ateneo’s Loyola Heights, Rockwell, and Pasig campuses on these dates: March 29 for grade school and high school; April 2 for School of Government and Graduate School of Business; April 4 for Loyola Schools/Central Administration; April 5 for the School of Medicine and Public Health; April 4 to 8 for Graduate School of Business; and April 7 to 8 for Law School. 

Two voting stations were set up inside each campus. Each of the stations had 3 to 6 laptops for the voters. They filled out Google Forms with the general question: “If the national elections were held today, who would you vote for in the following positions – president, vice president, senatorial candidates?” 

The Ateneo poll participants chose the following next to Roxas:

  • Rodrigo Duterte, with 28.29% of the votes cast, or 665 votes
  • Grace Poe, with 13.7% of the votes cast, or 322 votes
  • Miriam Defensor Santiago, with 11.23% of the votes cast, or 264 votes
  • Jejomar Binay with 3.02%, of the votes cast, or 71 votes

More than 6%, or 154 voters, did not choose a presidential candidate.

Pre-election surveys conducted nationwide by polling firms have always placed Roxas second to the last. 

For vice president, Ateneo voters chose the following after Robredo:

  • Ferdinand Marcos Jr with 10.38%, or 244 votes
  • Alan Peter Cayetano with 8.55%, or  210 votes
  • Francis Escudero with 2.89%, or 68 votes
  • Antonio Trillanes IV with 0.89%, or 21 votes
  • Gregorio Honasan II with 0.47%, or 11 votes

A total of 1.96% (41) of voters abstained from selecting a VP candidate.

In the latest Social Weather Stations survey, Marcos is the front runner, while Robredo is tied for the second spot Escudero.

Senatorial candidates

When it came to the senatorial elections, Richard Gordon was the top choice among Ateneans. He was followed by:

  • Richard Gordon, with 13.60%, or 1639 votes
  • Risa Hontiveros, with 12.88%, or 1552 votes
  • Leila De Lima, with 11.65%, or 1404 votes
  • Frank Drilon, with 9.06%, or 1092 votes
  • Francis Pangilinan, with 9.05%, or 1090 votes
  • Ralph Recto, with 8.44%, or 1017 votes
  • Sergio Osmena III, with 7.40%, or 892 votes
  • TG Guingona, with 6.56%, or  790 votes
  • Migz Zubiri, with 6.03%, or 727 votes
  • Panfilo Lacson, with 5.89%, or 710 votes
  • Win Gatchalian, with 4.81%, or 580 votes
  • Joel Villanueva, with 4.62%, or 557 votes

Richard Gordon’s placing first also contradicted national survey results. The latest Standard Poll put Ateneo’s first placer in the 10th to 15th position.

The results of the Ateneo mock polls were at odds with the Xavier University’s mock polls in February, where Duterte led with a commanding 65.13%.

The Eastern Visayas Regional Tertiary Schools Press Conference mock poll in February also put the tough-talking mayor from Davao City in the lead with 39.6% of the vote.

At the University of the Philippines, a poll held across 3 campuses saw Miriam Defensor Santiago clinch the top spot with 56.2% of the vote.

The Ateneo polls were conducted in coordination with various units of the university, such as the Office of the Vice President for Social Development, Information Technology Research Management Office, Office of Human Resources and Management Organization Development, Ateneo Task Force 2016, and Ateneo Statistics Circle, which led the tabulation and consolidation of data. – With reports from Lou Gepuela and Mark Barnes/Rappler.com

Mark Barnes is a Rappler intern. He is a 3rd year Communications student at the Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology majoring in journalism.