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Sara Duterte leads Pulse Asia's possible 2022 presidential bets poll

Davao City Mayor and Presidential daughter Sara Duterte emerged as a prospective frontrunner in the upcoming 2022 Presidential elections, according to a survey of Pulse Asia Research, Incorporated released on Thursday, December 31. 

The survey, conducted from November 23 to December 2, showed that if elections were held during the polling period, about a quarter of Filipino adults (26%) would support a probable presidential bid by Sara Duterte. 

She is followed by 4 other politicians who, according Pulse Asia, shared second place behind President Rodrigo Duterte’s daughter. These are former Senator Ferdinand Marcos, Jr (14%), Senator Grace Poe (14%), Manila Mayor Isko Moreno (12%), and Senator Emmanuel “Manny” Pacquiao (10%). 

The polling firm’s survey is the first to be published on the 2022 elections. 

Prior to this, Duterte had spoken of Sara as a possible presidential candidate on several occasions. Last June, his latest remarks saw him teasing that Sara should seek the highest office if she could “take the heat” and serve the nation.

Pulse Asia found that a small majority of Mindanawons (58%) as well as small pluralities in the Visayas (29%) and Class D (26%) expressed support for the presidential daughter. 

Apart from those listed, 6 other personalities registered voters’ preference. With 8% at most was Vice President Leni Robredo. She was trailed by Senator Panfilo Lacson (4%), Senator Christopher “Bong” Go (4%), Taguig City-Pateros Representative Alan Peter Cayetano (3%), Senator Richard Gordon (0.2%), and former Supreme Court Associate Justice Antonio Carpio (0.1%). 

Meanwhile, 4% of Filipino adults said they either did not know yet, refused to state, or would not vote for anyone as the nation’s chief executive. 

Screenshot from Pulse Asia survey

Vice President

If elections were held during the polling period, 3 figures would be statistically tied for vice-presidential post: Moreno (17%), Sara Duterte (16%), and Senate President Vicente Sotto III (14%).

Following them were defeated 2016 vice presidential candidate Marcos (11%), Pacquiao (11%), and Go (9%). Pulse Asia said Filipinos were “least supportive” of possible bids of the following: 

  • Sorsogon Governor Francis Escudero (6%)
  • Cayetano (5%)
  • Senator Juan Edgardo Angara (2%)
  • Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) Secretary Mark Villar (2%), 
  • Human rights lawyer and 2019 senatorial candidate Jose Manuel “Chel” Diokno (2%)

Screenshot from Pulse Asia survey

Senatorial poll

Meanwhile, Pulse Asia found that 58% of Filipino adults were already able to name 12 individuals they were “inclined to elect” to the Senate, most of whom were either incumbent or former lawmakers.

Topping the list was Pacquiao, with a voter preference of 62%. In 2nd to 3rd would be Raffy Tulfo (54%). Tulfo is closely trailed by Sara Duterte in 2nd to 4th, Pulse Asia said, with 50.9% of voter support. 

Behind them were the following: 

  • 3rd to 7th places: Manila Mayor Domagoso (48%)
  • Sharing 4th to 7th places: Frances “Chiz” Escudero (46.7%) and Alan Peter Cayetano (46%)
  • 4th to 8th: House Deputy Speaker and Antique Representative Loren Legarda (45.6%)
  • 7th to 9th places: Bongbong Marcos (41.8%)
  • 8th to 10th places: Lacson (38%)
  • 9th to 10th: Senator Juan Miguel Zubiri (35.7%)
  • 11th to 16th: Senator Sherwin Gatchalian (28%) 
  • 11th to 16th: former Senator Jinggoy Estrada (28%)
  • 11th to 16th: Senator Francis "Kiko" Pangilinan (27.9%) 
  • 11th to 16th: Senator Risa Hontiveros (27%)
  • 11th to 16th: Gordon (26.9%)
  • 11th to 20th:  DPWH Secretary Mark Villar (25%)

The survey is based on a sample of 2,400 adult respondents. It has an ± 2% error margin at the 95% confidence level.

Issues and controversies during the survey period include the onslaught of Super Typhoon Rolly and Typhoon Ulysses, release of Pfizer and Moderna’s vaccine trials showing high efficacy results, Senate approval of the 2021 budget, Duterte’s creation of an anti-corruption task force, and US Presidential elections, among others. – Rappler.com

Sofia Tomacruz

Sofia Tomacruz covers foreign affairs and is the lead reporter on the coronavirus pandemic. She also writes stories on the treatment of women and children. Follow her on Twitter via @sofiatomacruz. Email her at sofia.tomacruz@rappler.com.

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