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MANILA, Philippines – In a crowded gymnasium in General Santos City, Richard Tang Jr of South Cotabato donned his tribalwear to accept a long-awaited land ownership certificate from President Rodrigo Duterte himself.
He listened to Agriculture Secretary Manny Piñol say that it took Duterte’s “political will” to get various agencies to work together and issue the awards.
And so during a television interview, Tang was overjoyed. “Marami pong salamat kay Presidente Digong, Rodrigo Duterte. ‘Tay, maraming salamat kasi nabigay mo na sa amin ‘yung titulo ng lupa namin at pasalamat din kami sa pagmamahal mo sa aming mga Lumad.”
(Thank you very much to President Digong, Rodrigo Duterte. Father, many thanks to you because you gave us our land titles. We also thank you for your love for us, Lumad.)
On the other side of the world, physical therapist Kelly Dayag, from his apartment in California, said Duterte may have a foul mouth, but at least he helps poor Filipinos.
“We cannot focus on political correctness, ‘disente-disente (decency)’ which cannot put food on the table of ordinary Filipinos,” he told Rappler.
“I’d rather have a President like that, rather than ‘holier than thou’ who has stolen lots of money or is abusive and corrupt,” he continued.
This is the Philippine President, a man who has forced Filipinos to make a choice. Either you tolerate his faults and benefit from his virtues, or you coast along with the usual boring politician who’s never gotten the country anywhere.
You get rape jokes, but he’ll clean up Boracay. Your God gets called stupid, but you’ve got free college education for your kids.
It’s a choice some Filipinos have had no problem making. Others have had to make difficult compromises, necessitating an internal shift in values and then an external commitment that has led to unfriended friends and heated family arguments. (LISTEN: PODCASTS: Duterte, ruler of a divided nation)
Voting Duterte, for many, was a gamble and in the midway point of his presidency, June 30, 2019, Filipinos are now assessing if they made the right bet.
Popularity despite odds
The “iron-fisted” Davao City mayor of 2016 won on the strength of 16.6 million votes – 39% of all votes cast in a 5-way race.
Nearly halfway into his presidency, 79% of Filipinos, never mind just the voting population, declared satisfaction with his leadership, according to a Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey in March.
Duterte has kept his honeymoon period going for two years and 3 quarters of a year. SWS defines a president’s honeymoon period as a time when he or she is able to maintain a net satisfaction rating of at least +30, the minimum rating for a grade of “good.”
His March net satisfaction rating was +66, which, along with his June 2017 rating of the same number, is his highest so far.
‘TATAY DIGONG.’ President Rodrigo Duterte comforts the kin of one of the victims who died during the car bomb attack in Lamitan City, Basilan on July 31, 2018. Malacañang photo
Two things could have threatened or can still threaten Duterte’s pro-poor image.
Inflation in September 2018 pulled down Duterte’s survey ratings. Global factors and some economic policies, like the rice tarrification law, which Duterte pushed for, softened the blow a bit and eased inflation.
Arugay said if inflation continued to worsen, Duterte’s numbers would have continued to dip. Presidents typically score low in “controlling inflation,” based on SWS presidential report cards since the Cory Aquino administration.
Inflation hits the poorest classes D and E the hardest. Filipinos from this economic class make up the majority of the population and are thus the grouping that politicians woo.
But as the first half of the Duterte presidency was about to wrap up, another controversy threatens to hurt the Chief Executive’s image as man for the poor.
The Recto Bank incident, messily handled by the Cabinet and dismissed by Duterte himself, involved 22 Filipino fishermen – the very definition of poor and marginalized.
While none of them died, their boat was hit and sunk by a Chinese ship, causing them to flounder at sea for hours before help came.
Instead of outrage at the Chinese and words of comfort for the fishermen, Duterte hid behind uncertainty saying an investigation is needed to determine what really happened. It’s a response that could have come from a typical bureaucrat.
Can most of his supporters explain this seeming lack of resolve from a President they have hailed for his political will?
Or will the contradiction gain traction and challenge his vaunted image as protector of the poor, exploited Filipino?
Unanswered questions
There remain controversies for which Duterte is yet to give a satisfying explanation.
If his drug war is so tough, why is he so soft on billions’ worth of shabu smuggling? Rather than kick out officials allegedly involved in the scam, he has merely transferred them to a different government post. Former customs chief Nick Faeldon and Isidro Lapeña come to mind. There’s also Allan Capuyan, accused of facilitating the entry of shabu, who is now indigenous peoples commission chief.
Why protect Michael Yang despite reports of his links to illegal drugs?
If his drive against corruption is serious, why recycle officials who allegedly committed such acts, and why threaten the Commission on Audit, whose task it is to spot abuse of public funds?
If he is all for freedom of expression, especially his own, why threaten media groups and journalists?
If he is determined to pursue an independent foreign policy, why pander to China?
These anomalies in his governance threaten to mar what legacy he’ll leave when he steps down in 2022.
No one gets through the presidency unscathed. The Duterte we see today is gaunter, grayer, more exhausted.
“There will always be a time to fade. I may be the more brighter than the lights here shining as President, but I will grow dim 3 years from now,” Duterte said on June 8.
But in most ways, Duterte has stayed the same. It’s the “constancy” of his political style that has kept his ratings high.
The next 3 years will be a question of how besotted Filipinos will remain with his brand of leadership or if future controversies will challenge the narrative that has served him so well. – Rappler.com
See more of Rappler coverage – news, in-depth stories, analysis, videos, and podcasts – on Duterte’s halfway mark here.
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