Disaster Fact Checks

FACT CHECK: No super typhoon expected in PH up until December 21

Rappler.com

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FACT CHECK: No super typhoon expected in PH up until December 21
No active tropical cyclone has been monitored within and outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, according to weather bureau PAGASA

Claim: A Signal No. 4 super typhoon is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), according to a December 21 weather update. 

Rating: FALSE

Why we fact-checked this: The video was posted on December 21 by Balitang Pinas, a verified YouTube channel with 612,000 subscribers. As of writing, the video has 25,451 views and 646 likes.

The video’s thumbnail bears the claim: “Hagupit ng bagyo. Huling bagyong papasok, super typhoon! Signal No. 4.” (Rage of the storm. Last tropical cyclone to enter is a super typhoon! Signal No. 4.)

The video’s title also claimed that the incoming tropical cyclone would be the strongest typhoon to enter the PAR this year.

The facts: According to the latest public weather forecast of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) issued on Thursday, December 21, no active tropical cyclone is being monitored within and outside the PAR.

In its 4 am weather update, PAGASA weather specialist Daniel James Villamil said that the trough of the low pressure area (LPA) that exited the PAR on December 20 continues to affect Kalayaan Islands in Palawan. 

Aside from the trough of the LPA, the shear line brings cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms to eastern parts of Luzon such as Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Quezon.

Due to the northeast monsoon, cloudy skies with rain are expected in the Cordillera Administrative Region, the rest of Cagayan Valley, Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur. 

Metro Manila and the rest of the country are expected to experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and thunderstorms due to the easterlies and localized thunderstorms. 

The Philippines’ most recent tropical cyclone was Kabayan (Jelawat), which weakened into an LPA on December 18, and its most recent super typhoon was Goring (Saola), which hit the country in August. The next tropical cyclone is set to be named Liwayway

Outdated report: The misleading video used the audio of an outdated PAGASA weather report posted on December 20. The said report, however, did not mention any tropical cyclone, let alone a super typhoon, that is being monitored outside PAR. Instead, it reported about the LPA that had exited the country at 2 pm that day. 

Previous fact checks: The YouTube channel that posted the misleading video is verified, but this only means that it is the “official channel of a creator, artist, company, or public figure.” YouTube’s guidelines do not mention checking the authenticity of a channel’s content.

Rappler has debunked several weather-related claims from the same channel

Official news: For official weather updates, refer to PAGASA’s official website, X (formerly Twitter), Facebook, and YouTube accounts. Get updates too via Rappler’s Philippine weather page. – Ailla dela Cruz/ Rappler.com

Keep us aware of suspicious Facebook pages, groups, accounts, websites, articles, or photos in your network by contacting us at factcheck@rappler.com. You may also report dubious claims to #FactsFirstPH tipline by messaging Rappler on Facebook or Newsbreak via Twitter direct message. You may also report through our Viber fact check chatbot. Let us battle disinformation one Fact Check at a time.

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